Region of uncertainty - virtual asteroid

Let's consider an asteroid: making a first unique observation, its real position can only be determined with some errors. This means we can associate to the asteroid a region of uncertainty. Every point inside this region is a possible position of the object, and is therefore called virtual asteroid. For every virtual asteroid a trajectory can be calculated using computers. This can be done over periods of 50 years maximum. Doing this determination for every virtual asteroid inside the region, it is possible to know how this region evolves in time, moving and changing shape (since every virtual asteroid can follow a different orbit).



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